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Start NowNews|August 3, 2024|2 min read
The Federal Reserve concluded its August policy meeting with a decision to maintain the current interest rates, signaling a cautious approach amid evolving economic conditions. The announcement sent ripples across financial markets, with Bitcoin experiencing a staggering intraday swing of over $5000, underscoring the cryptocurrency's sensitivity to macroeconomic developments.
Fed’s Decision: A Pause, Not a Pivot
As widely anticipated, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the benchmark federal funds rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range, marking the second consecutive pause after an aggressive tightening cycle that saw rates climb by over 500 basis points since March 2022.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that while inflation has moderated, it remains above the central bank’s 2% target. "The committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks and will continue to assess incoming data before determining the extent of additional policy firming," Powell stated during the press conference.
Bitcoin’s Wild Ride
Within minutes of the Fed’s announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) surged from $29,200 to over $30,500, only to retreat sharply to $29,800 before climbing back above $30,000. The $5000+ volatility range highlighted the crypto market’s reactive nature to monetary policy signals.
Analysts attributed Bitcoin’s initial spike to a "relief rally" as traders priced in the Fed’s dovish hold. However, Powell’s tempered remarks about future hikes triggered profit-taking, leading to the subsequent pullback.
Market Reactions and Analyst Insights
Equities: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite edged higher post-announcement, reflecting optimism over the pause.
Gold: The precious metal rose 1.2%, benefiting from a slightly weaker dollar.
Crypto Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) mirrored Bitcoin’s volatility, while altcoins saw mixed performance.
"Bitcoin’s reaction exemplifies its dual role as a risk asset and inflation hedge," noted Rachel Lin, CEO of Synapse Trading. "The Fed’s stance keeps liquidity conditions in check, but any hint of rate cuts in 2024 could ignite a sustained crypto rally."
What’s Next for Crypto and Macro Markets?
With the Fed’s next meeting in September, traders will scrutinize employment and CPI data for clues on whether rates have peaked. For Bitcoin, key support rests at $28,500, while a break above $31,000 could signal renewed bullish momentum.
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